With just over three months until Election Day, it appears as though the race for control for the United
States Senate is looking better and better for Democrats. There are three seats being vacated by sitting Republican senators in Colorado, New Mexico and Virginia. Everyone expects that - barring unforeseen circumstances - these three seats will switch to the Democrats. The Democratic seats that appeared to be vulnerable at the first of the year in Louisiana and South Dakota seem to be in better shape. Most importantly, there are five incumbent Republicans who are running for office who are now in serious danger of losing their seats.
We could be looking at a Democratic majority between 55 to 58 seats in November. Of course, we can't take any of these seats for granted and many still have to be won by raising the money, fighting the good fight and hammering home the consequences of eight disastrous years of Republican rule. Anyone wanting to support the effort to dramatically take back the Senate can make donations to the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) for all the races or a particular race.
Let's look at the races of the five endangered Republican incumbents. (All polling figures are the very latest from Rasmussen Reports)
Alaska
Senator Ted Stevens has been a fixture in the United States Senate for years. He has been a huge enemy to the environment, one of the leaders in pork spending and bad on social issues. He appeared undefeatable and he won re-election time and time again with over 60% of the vote. But this year he has been tainted with scandal and has a powerful opponent in Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich. In fact, Begich raised over $300,000 more than Steven in the Second Quarter reporting!
Senator Ted Stevens (R) 46%
Mayor Mark Begich (D) 44%
Minnesota
Senator Norm Coleman went from being a progressive Mayor of St Paul to a right wing senator. Now he is attempting to catch the center again as he reads the tea leaves. Former SNL comedian and radio personality Al Franken is giving him a real run. Now that Jesse Ventura has decided not to run - which would have hurt Franken more - the seat has a good shot changing into Democratic hands. Franken could also be helped by Obama's coattails since the Illinois senator is currently running 17 points ahead of McCain in Minnesota. Franken almost tied Coleman in second quarter fundraising.
Senator Norm Coleman 42%
Al Franken 44%
Mississippi
Appointed Senator Roger Wicker wasn't even able to save his old Congressional seat in Northern Mississippi in a by-election this year. Most of us are stunned (and a bit euphoric) to see a state that has voted Republican in the last seven Presidential elections in jeopardy. Former Governor Ronnie Musgrove is known and liked statewide. In addition, again because of Obama coattails, we are likely to see a huge turnout of African-American voters in this race. In campaign reporting Musgrove only raised $8,000 less than Wicker the second quarter.
Senator Roger Wicker 48%
Governor Ronnie Musgrove 47%
New Hampshire
Senator John Sununu's race seems almost over. The incumbent Senator is being run ragged by former New Hampshire Governor Jeanne Shaheen. New Hampshire, like the rest of New England, has been going more and more Democratic. Governor Shaheen was a popular governor and one of the best politicians in the country. Just ask Hillary Clinton about that! In the second quarter fundraising, Sheehan raised $500,000 more than the incumbent.
Senator John Sununu 39%
Governor Jeanne Shaheen 53%
Oregon
Senator Gordon Smith is in trouble and many of us are surprised. State House Speaker Jeff Merkley is giving him a real run for his money. Smith has been tagged as a "Bush man" and his approval rating are extremely low. This is a state where Obama has a massive "citizen army' (remember the 75,000 person rally?) and it will help Merkley a lot. In the second quarter Merkley stunningly out raised Smith by $100,000!
Senator Gordon Smith 46%
Speaker Jeff Merkley 46%
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