Mar 9 2010

Donkey  Yes, the election is still about 8 months away but the situation at the moment looks grim for the Democrats in the United States Senate. Right now I can see eight Democratic seats in very serious trouble and only three states where we have a 'moderate' chance of picking up a Republican seat. There are three wild cards in the entire bunch. Here is how I read the current Democratic chances: My projection eight months out is that Democrats will lose 7 to 8 seats. They currently have 58 seats in the United States Senate.

KISS THE SEATS GOOD-BYE (6 Seats)

North Dakota
Arkansas
Nevada
Colorado
Delaware
Indiana

DIFFICULT BATTLES: ( 2 Seats)

Pennsylvania
New Hampshire

SAFE BUT NOT OUT OF THE WOODS: (2 Seats)

Illinois
Wisconsin

SHOTS FOR A DEMOCRATIC PICKUP:

Ohio
Kentucky
Missouri

WILDCARDS:

Arizona (If McCain Lose Primary Dems Have a Chance)
New Jersey (If Launtenberg Resigns Because of Health It Becomes a Republican Seat)
California (could come into play if Tom Campbell wins the Republican nomination)