Sep 27 2012

 

 

2012-electoral-tie-nightmare

There are a number of combinations where Mitt Romney and President Obama could tie in the Electoral College. BusinessInsider.com has worked out one very scary scenario where neither candidate would have enough electoral votes to be elected President. They both remain at 269 - just one short of victory! You have to go to the site to find out the ending but here is excerpts from the beginning!

The site begins the story:

It's the night of Election Day, and, as predicted, Pennsylvania is called for Obama relatively quickly, and North Carolina — where, let's say the Obama campaign pulled out in October, is summarily called for Romney.

But, after shifting around resources and coughing up a swing state to reallocate resources, Romney outperforms expectations in adopted home New Hampshire. Florida — while still very close — is leaning Republican.

Obama, who needs some good news, picks up Virginia in the early evening. But then, there's a shift. The Midwest Republican turnout was high, and Ohio and Iowa are called for Romney, but Obama keeps Wisconsin.

Now, the western states are phoning in the results, and after a blistering air war in Nevada, it looks like Romney is going to win it. Still, a tight race in Colorado has Obama in the lead.

By midnight, all the races are called. Romney has picked up North Carolina, Florida, New Hampshire, Iowa, Ohio, and Nevada — all well within his reach. Obama has scored Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Colorado and Virginia. It's settled.

Neither of the candidates have hit 270. They're tied at 269.

Then what happens?:

What the hell happens now? It goes to Congress. The incoming House of Representatives holds a special session where each state delegation gets a single vote. California's 55 member House delegation gets together and picks which candidate they will give their one vote to, just as Wyoming's single House Representative picks who gets his state's vote.

The House votes in January until one candidate gets 26 votes, an outright majority of the fifty states.

So nobody in the country knows who the president is going to be until the House meets and votes after 1:00 PM on January 6th, two weeks before the man is due to be sworn in.

But here's the scariest possibility.

Let's say that after a drubbing on the presidential level, the house races are an abject catastrophe, and a many are still too close to call the morning after — six have already entered automatic recount mode, and attorneys for another four races have already filed court papers.

Now, House delegations with an outright, non-threatened one-party majority — the New Yorks, the Alaskas — would bring the total of Obama 14, Romney 20. But let's say several tossup house races and seats make it so that states with a split majority, like Iowa, Florida, and North Carolina shift to the left. When a dozen specific final races are called for Democrats — presumably after being caught up in months of litigation and recounts — the state delegations from a number of crucial swing states are split, with some a hair for the Democrats. Democratic Delegations Republican Delegations AZ CA CO CT DE FL HI IA IL ME MD MA MI MN NH NJ NM NY NC NV RI WA VT WI AL AK AR GA ID IN KS KY LA MS MO MT NE ND OH OK PA SC SD TN TX UT VA WY WV

Final tally? 25-25. To select the President, someone has to give. And with congress as entrenched as it is right now, and with the stakes as high as they are, there isn't a President, and there will not be a President.