Move over Nate Silver, Farsite Forecast has done the numbers and projected the Oscar winners. The Academy Awards are just 38 days away and if I were the team from Lincoln, I would not be looking over my shoulder at Argo but at Silver Lining Notebook. Here are the site projections for the winners after running the data:

Best Picture:

Lincoln: 38.4%
Silver Lining: 30.8%
Argo: 9.3%
Amour: 7.3%
Beasts of Southern Wild: 5.9%
Life of Pi: 4.7%
Zero Dark Thirty: 1.9%
Les Miserable: 1.4%
Django Unchained: 0.5%

Best Director:

Steven Spieberg: 44.5%
David O Russell: 33%
Ang Lee: 8.0%
Michael Haneke: 7.9%
Benh Zeitlin: 6.6%

Best Actor:

Daniel Day Lewis: 48.9%
Bradley Cooper: 41.9%
Hugh Jackman: 6.3%
Joaquin Phoenix: 1.7%
Denzel Washington: 1.2%

Best Actress:

Jennifer Lawrence: 53.5%
Jessica Chastain: 34.6%
Emmanuelle Riva: 5.7%
Quvenzhane Wallis: 4.2%
Naomi Watts: 2.1%

Best Supporting Actor:

Christoph Waltz: 33.7%
Tommy Lee Jones: 24.5%
Philip Seymour Hoffman: 23.8%
Robert DeNiro: 12.4%
Alan Arkin: 5.5%

Best Supporting Actress:

Anne Hathaway: 84.4%
Sally Field: 9.2%
Helen Hunt: 3.%
Jackie Weaver: 2.2%
Amy Adams: 1.3%