January 11, 2014
December 19, 2013
-Didn't take long for the Republican candidate in Maine to start 'gay-baiting' the Democratic nominee who recently came out. In the race for Governor, Republican Erick Bennett called Democratic Congressman Mike Michaud a 'closet homo'.
-Public Policy Polling has a new national poll released this week. It shows Chris Christie leading Hillary Clinton by 45% to 42%. Clinton defeats all other possible Republican nominees by margins of five to eight points.
-Among national Republicans, Christie also leads but it is by far not a sure thing. If Mike Huckabee enters, Christiecould have some problems. Huckabee has the highest 'favorable rating of any Republican with 65% of them loving him. Christie's 'favorble' rating is just 47%. The poll shows:
-The latest Public Policy Poll (PPP) brings the news that the Democrats are on the verge of defeating Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell in Kentucky. The latest has Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes leading by just one point in a 43% to 42% race!
-The same poll has good news for McConnell in that he currently leads his Tea Party challenger, Matt Bevin, by 53% to 26%. The leader is still now out of the woods since conservative Republicans in the state say they want someone more 'conservative' than McConnell by a margin of 55% to 33%.
-The minimum raise might be the secret issue for Democrats in Kentucky as voters want to increase it by a margin of 54% to 33%.
-In Iowa, the Quinnipiac Poll shows that Governor Christie leads Hillary Clinton by 5 points. Clinton leads all other Republican candidates but she leads Senator Rand Paul by just 1 point.
-We might pick up a Governor's seat in Florida. Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Scott's own poll shows him behind new Democrat Charlie Crist 49% to 45%. What is tough for the Scott is that the poll is his own internal poll!
-Incumbent Republican Congressman Frank R. Wolf has decided not to seek re-election in Virginia. He has served for 34 years. The District went for Romney by just 1 point so it could be a pickup for Democrats next year.
-Off setting the good news out of Virginia is the bad news for Democrats in Utah. Democratic Congressman Jim Matheson has announced that he won't run for re-election. This district gave Mitt Romney 67% of the vote so it doesn't look good for the Dems to hold this seat.
-Finally, there is more good news for Dems with Republican retirements. Congressman Tom Latham of Iowa is hanging up his political career. The newly open seat went for Obama in 2012 by four points so the Dems could have a pickup with this seat!
-Pennsylvania looks good for the Dems to pick up another Governorship next year. Incumbent Republican Governor Corbett is seriously trailing in the new Quinnipiac Poll. Congresswoman Allyson Schwartz is leading him by 45% to 37%.
-Looks good for Dems to hold the Iowa seat of retiring Senator Tom Harkin. Congressman Bruce Braley is leading all Republican challengers for the seat.
Posted at 06:18 AM in 2014 Elections, 2016 Elections, Democrats, Governor Chris Christie, Governor Races in 2014, Hillary Clinton, Political Update, Politics, Polls, Public Policy Poll, Quinnipiac Poll, Republicans, Right Wing, Right Wing Republicans, Tea Party | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
December 09, 2013
Here is the latest from the world of politics.
-God help us! Just when you thought it was safe to go into the water, Donald Trump once again raises his head. Now the billionaire Tea Party Republican is thinking of challenging Governor Andrew Cuomo. Lets hope he does so he can finally be wiped out at the ballot box!
-Will this be a first? Air Force One could carry four Presidents on one plane as it heads to the funeral of Nelson Mandela. President Obama, President George W. Bush and President Clinton will all be on the plane. President Carter is expected to join them.
-MSNBC has an article saying that the United States Senate races in the South could determine the control of that body in 2014. The four Senate races are in Arkansas, Georgia, North Carolina and Louisiana.
-Every two years exactly about this time Centrist Democrats start wailing that the Democratic Party is too left. This year they have to factor in tough progressive Senator Elizabeth Warren who is hitting back hard against such nonsense!
-FireDogLake.com has an interesting article on Governor Christie's lobbying before he became Governor. This promises to be just the opening salvo as people finally take a close look at Christie's past and record.
-While we are chatting about Christie, Politico says Democrats are already digging deep into his record including his famous bullying of others in public. Every explosion in public is being carefully being preserved for future use politically. My guess is it isn't only the Dems digging deep into Christie's record but also right wing Republicans.
-Republican Tea Party types are going crazy at the nice comments from both Gingrich and Senator Cruz about Nelson Mandela. They are livid that the two would praise a former Communist and revolutionary. Racism is never more than two steps away.
-Public Policy Polling (PPP) has taken a poll in the Land of Lincoln and finds out they don't really love Oprah! Only 44% of voters in her home state view here favorably while 48% don't like the billionaire talk show host.
-The same poll shows that Illinois still remains mostly a moderate Republican state. In the 2016 race for the Republican nomination, it is a Christie state.
-The Washington Examiner says that born again former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is considering another run for the Presidency. He passed in 2012 but now seems ready to hit the campaign trail.
-Incumbent Republican Mississippi Senator Thad Cochran in a surprise move has decided to seek re-election. The 76 year old Senator faces a strenuous primary challenge from Tea Party Republican State Senator Chris McDaniel. Cochran has raised almost no money to take on his well-funded primary challenger. The Senator has less then a million in the bank.
-Governor Jerry Brown in the latest Field Poll has a 41 point lead over his closet Republican challenger in 2014.
-Right wing Rev. E.W. Jackson who lost his race for Lt. Governor of Virginia by 11 points has formed a new PAC in the state. One of the main goals of the effort is to defeat pro-LGBT actions in the Old Dominican State.
-The New York Post has an article saying that President Obama and Congressman Charles Rangel can't stand each other.
-This bit of news is classic. It seems as if the Republican National Committee is holding classes, yes that is right classes, to teach Republican candidates how not to offend women. Really? Do they actually need to be taught the issues of concern to women voters?
November 29, 2013
-For the first time in decades, the Democrats are Mayors of all the major United States cities. Bloomberg reports that just two decades ago 50% of the Mayor of the twelve largest United States cities were Republican. As of January 1,there will be only one race where Republicans can still win and that is in San Diego where there is a run-off election still to take place.The site reports:
De Blasio’s election means that besides New York, there will be Democratic mayors next year in Los Angeles; Chicago; Houston; Philadelphia; Phoenix; San Antonio; Dallas; San Jose, California; Austin, Texas; and Jacksonville, Florida.
-CNN has a new national poll that shows Governor Christie picking up seven points since election day in his run to the Republican nomination. Here are the results.
-Unless incumbent Republican Governor Tom Corbett steps down, it is very likely that the Democrats will pickup the Governorship of Pennsylvania. All the potential Democrats lead him by double digits.
-Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows that neighboring Governor Christie will do well in the Republican primary in 2016. Here are the results.
-The same poll shows Christie giving Hillary a run for her money in the Keystone State. He leads the likely Democratic nominee by 4 points. She leads the rest of the Republican hopeful by 4 points (Bush) to 12 points (Cruz)!
-PPP shows the Democrats are in a real tough race to re-elect Democratic Governor Pat Quinn in Illinois. He is either tied or running a few points behind all the Republican challengers. Senator Durbin should have zero problems in getting re-elected in 2014.
-The Quinnipiac Poll show Governor Christie running neck and neck with Hillary in Ohio for 2016. She edges him by literally 1 point. She beats Bush by 13 points, Rubio by 11 points, Paul by 10 points, Ryan by 8 points and Cruz by a whopping 15 points.
-Governor Rick Perry, this time off his heavy dose of pain medications, appears to be sounding out a run again for the Republican nomination. He has schedule a four stop tour of South Carolina this coming week.
-A great article on Politico on how President Carter's statements could make his grandson, Jason Carter, race for Governor more of a challenge. A good read.
-Finally, the Republican Harper Poll has the latest polling for the Republican Presidential nomination for the Iowa Caucuses.
-The same poll shows Christie beating Clinton in Iowa by 5%. All the other Republicans lose to her by about five points.
November 25, 2013
Here is the latest from American politics and polls.
-Another Bush is entering American politics. George Prescott Bush is running for Texas Land Commissioner. He is grandson of President George H.W. Bush and nephew of President George W. Bush. The Spanish speaking son of former Florida Governor Jeb Bush is a rising star in the Texas Republican Party.
-Quinnipiac University Polling has just completed a statewide survey in Florida. In the Republican primary for President in 2016, favorite son former Governor Jeb Bush edges out United States Senator Marco Rubio.
-Hillary Clinton sweep the Florida Democratic Primary with 70% of the vote. She is in a close race with Christie and Bush in the Sunshine State.
The former Secretary of States leads Rubio by seven points, Rand Paul by 10 points, Paul Ryan by 8 points and Cruz by 16 points!
-Campaign & Elections has picked the "The Influencers 50" with those that impact elections at all different level. Click here to see the list.
-In Mississippi, a new Public Policy Poll says that only 22% think marriage equality should be legal with 69% opposed to full equality for LGBT Americans. However, believe it or not, that is improvement from other polls. Just two years ago, only 13% approved of marriage equality.
-The same poll showed that Mississippi is in love with Senator Cruz in the next Republican Presidential primary. Here are the results:
Bobby Jindal: 8%
-If Cruz or Paul are the nominees in Mississippi, they lead Clinton by only 2 points!
-A new Quinnipiac Poll shows that Colorado could be very tough for the Democrats in 2016! Even Senator Cruz is running even with Hillary! If the election was held today in the Mile High State, Hillary would lose big to Christie by 8 points! She ties Cruz and would lose to Rand Paul by 3 points and Paul Ryan by 2 points!
-Christie leads the Republican primary field in North Carolina with 20% to 16% for Jeb Bush, 12% for Rand Paul and Ted Cruz, 10% for Marco Rubio, 7% for Paul Ryan, 6% for Bobby Jindal, 2% for Rick Santorum, and 1% for Scott Walker. He is also the only Republican that comes close to Hillary in the state running only two points behind.
November 22, 2013
Take that you classic villain Chris Christie!
Governor Brown's dog Sutter Brown has shown the New Jersey bully how to tackle the budget. With Proposition 30, the state of California has balanced its budget, got on sound economic footing again and showed the Governor of the Garden state how it is done.
Have a good laugh and enjoy this as much as I have enjoyed it.
November 17, 2013
Realized that there are several interesting developments in politics recently but hard to make any of them a full fledge story on the blog. So here is a quick summary of some interesting political news:
-Seattle elected its first Socialist to its City Council in decades. Kshama Sawant defeated incumbent Councilman Richard Conlin. It was a close race decided by just a little more than 1,000 votes. Conlin who was a liberal who served on the city council for sixteen years. In the same election, Seattle voters elected their first openly gay mayor State Senator Ed Murray.
-Republican United States Senator Mitch McConnell has a very tough race in 2014 in Kentucky. Not only does the Republican Senate Minority Leader have a tough primary with a Tea Party candidate but he is tied in his race with Democrat Alison Lundergan. The recent DFM Research poll shows the race at 41% t 40%. McConnell's unfavorable rating in the Blue Grass State is 55%!
-Former Governor (and Republican turned Democrat) Charlie Crist might not have an easy time walking back into the Governor's mansion in Florida. United States Senator Bill Nelson is considering challenging Crist in the Democratic primary. Poor Charlie.
-The Tea Party Leadership Fund has targeted for primaries eight-seven Republicans who voted to end the shut down of government. That includes Speaker John Boehner. The main target of the group are Backer says the group has honed in on a few specific members to start: Illinois Rep. Rodney Davis, New York Rep. Peter King, North Carolina Rep. Robert Pittenger, Louisiana Rep. Charles Boustany, and most importantly, Backer said, House Speaker John Boehner in Ohio.
-Former Republican New Jersey Governor Thomas Kean is not 'feeling it' for Governor Chris Christie. Good old bully Christie attempted to unseat Kean's son as State Senate Minority Leader. Christie failed in the effort and created some enemies in his own home state.
-Another interesting election for the Republicans in Louisiana. Businessman Vance McAllister (R) defeated the choice of Congressional Republicans, Rodney Alexander, for an open Congressional seat. Bet you think McAllister is some right wing Tea Party type! Nope, he is more moderate than Alexander and actually said there are some good parts of Obamacare!
-On the 50th anniversary of President Kennedy's assassination, the new Gallup Poll shows that 61% of Americans do not believe assassin Lee Harvey Oswald acted alone.
November 13, 2013
A new Quinnipiac University National Poll shows that Chris Christie and Hillary Clinton at this moment are tied. Christie actually has a 1 point lead over the former Secretary of State.
The poll showed
Chris Christie: 43%
Hillary Clinton: 42%
Clinton leads Paul Ryan by 9 points, Rand Paul by 9 points and Senator Ted Cruz by 15 points.
Quinnipiac in a release stated:
The gender gap in the Christie-Clinton matchup is obvious: women go to the Democrat 48 - 39 percent while men go Republican 47 - 35 percent. Independent voters go to Christie 48 - 32 percent, with Democrats for Clinton 85 - 6 percent and Republicans for Christie 85 - 5 percent. White voters back Christie 50 - 35 percent with Clinton ahead 77 - 12 percent among black voters and 46 - 38 percent among Hispanic voters.
"It's a long way off and no one is officially a candidate yet, but the Hillary Clinton-Chris Christie race to the White House is neck-and-neck before the campaign even saddles up," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"Sen. Rand Paul, Vice President Joseph Biden, those other guys better get cracking or they might as well head back to the stables."
American voters say 54 - 40 percent that Hillary Clinton would make a good president and say the same about Christie, 49 - 31 percent. But Vice President Joseph Biden, Paul, Cruz and Ryan would not make a good president, voters say.
Voters are divided 39 - 39 percent on whether they would vote for a Democrat or a Republican in their Congressional district, down from a 43 - 34 percent Democratic advantage in an October 1 Quinnipiac University poll. Independent voters shift from 32 percent for Democrats and 30 percent for Republicans October 1 to 37 - 26 percent Republican today.
Voters still disapprove of Republicans in Congress, 73 - 20 percent, more than they disapprove of Democrats, 62 - 30 percent.
November 04, 2013
Hard to believe but tomorrow is the off-year election with the 'stars' being the governor races in Virginia and New Jersey. Those races are overshadowing the Mayor's races in Seattle and New York. Interestingly, Seattle could defeat an incumbent and send an openly gay man to the Mayor's office. New York is a runaway for Democrat Bill de Blasio.
In Virginia, it appears that the voters are going to the polls and totally rejecting the Tea Party right wing branch of the Republican Party. The latest Public Policy Polling shows Democrat Terry McAuliffe with a seven point lead over Republican Ken Cuccinelli. The Libertarian candidate's percentage has been shrinking over the last months and Sarvis is a low 4%.
In New Jersey, Republican Governor Chris Christie at one time was leading by a whopping 33 points. That margin has been getting lower with each passing day. While totally safe with currently a 19 point lead in the Fairleigh Dickinson Poll over his Democratic rival, Barbara Buono, this is not the blow out that everyone expected from Christie. If he falls below 15 points in the final election, Democrats might have been wishing they had put more money into the race.
Seattle might be sending Democrat Ed Murray to the Mayor's office. Strategies 360 Poll has the State Senator leading incumbent Mayor Mike McGinn by 17 points. If elected, Murray would be the first openly LGBT Mayor in Seattle's history. The poll shows:
October 18, 2013
Without question, marriage equality has come to New Jersey starting on Monday. After the New Jersey State Supreme Court refused to 'stay' a lower court ruling in favor of marriage equality, the writing was on the wall. A clear sign of the impact of the State Supreme Court decision was the reaction of Governor Chris Christie.
He issued a statement:
"The Supreme Court has made its determination. While the Governor firmly believes that this determination should be made by all the people of the State of New Jersey, he has instructed the Department of Health to cooperate with all municipalities in effectuating the order of the Superior Court under the applicable law,"
By ordering the Department of Health to make sure there is a smooth transition into marriage equality ensures that marriage equality in the Garden State is here to stay. The Governor issued no statement that he was appealing anything to the United States Supreme Court.
Even though the State Supreme Court will still hear the marriage equality case in January it made its intentions clear. The Associated Press reported:
Same-sex marriages will begin within days in New Jersey after the state's highest court ruled unanimously Friday to uphold a lower-court order that gay weddings must start Monday and to deny a delay that was sought by Gov. Chris Christie's administration.
"The state has advanced a number of arguments, but none of them overcome this reality: Same-sex couples who cannot marry are not treated equally under the law today," the court said in an opinion by Chief Justice Stuart Rabner. "The harm to them is real, not abstract or speculative."
A judge on the lower court had ruled last month that New Jersey must recognize same-sex marriage and set Monday as the date to allow gay weddings. Christie, a Republican who is considered a possible 2016 presidential candidate, appealed the decision and asked for the start date to be put on hold while the state appeals.